Now we have reached the 61.8 retracement point I am more guarded than ever for a good size correction. This could be sudden or if kept up until Christmas It could go to new highs without a correction. This is what makes all this so interesting. There is no rule of law that once this Fibonacci level has been reached a failure will occur, it is simply a level that produces failure many times. My vote is for about a hundred point drop on the S&P futures and about 1,000 points on the /YM or Dow Futures. This is the probability, not something cast in stone. I will wait to enter short over the next few days as it could drift higher. Stops placed at a reasonable point in case I'm wrong. Bottom picking and Top picking can be a "fools game" but I do enjoy it.
I will say it again, if you make a trade decision based on anything I write here then, you are an idiot. The technical situation can change in a matter of minutes and throw all this out the window. I only comment on the short term futures markets for the most part as this is a traders market. Anyway I expect a move back to 1146 from where ever this ES settles over the next few hours. It may take a while to play out.
No comments:
Post a Comment